ISWC OpenIR  > 水保所科研产出--SCI  > 2018--SCI
Potential land use adjustment for future climate change adaptation in revegetated regions
Shouzhang Peng1; Zhi Li2; Li, Z (reprint author), Northwest A&F Univ, Coll Nat Resources & Environm, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China.
SubtypeArticle
2018
Source PublicationSCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
ISSN0048-9697
description.correspondentemaillizhibox@nwafu.edu.cn
Volume639Pages:476-484
AbstractTo adapt to future climate change, appropriate land use patterns are desired. Potential natural vegetation (PNV) emphasizing the dominant role of climate can provide a useful baseline to guide the potential land use adjustment. This work is particularly important for the revegetated regions with intensive human perturbation. However, it has received little attention. This study chose China's Loess Plateau, a typical revegetated region, as an example study area to generate the PNV patterns with high spatial resolution over 2071-2100 with a process-based dynamic vegetation model (LPJ-GUESS), and further investigated the potential land use adjustment through comparing the simulated and observed land use patterns. Compared with 1981-2010, the projected PNV over 2071-2100 would have less forest and more steppe because of drier climate. Subsequently, 25.3-55.0% of the observed forests and 79.3-91.9% of the observed grasslands in 2010 can be kept over 2071-2100, and the rest of the existing forested area and grassland were expected to be more suitable for steppes and forests, respectively. To meet the request of China's Grain for Green Project, 60.9-84.8% of the existing steep farmland could be converted to grassland and the other for forest. Our results highlight the importance in adjusting the existing vegetation pattern to adapt to climate change. The research approach is extendable and provides a framework to evaluate the sustainability of the existing land use pattern under future climate. (c) 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
KeywordClimate Change Land Use Adjustment Lpj-guess Potential Natural Vegetation Revegetated Regions
Subject AreaEnvironmental Sciences & Ecology
DOI10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.05.194
Indexed BySCI
Publication PlacePO BOX 211, 1000 AE AMSTERDAM, NETHERLANDS
Language英语
WOS IDWOS:000436806200046
PublisherELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
Funding OrganizationNational Natural Science Foundation of China [41601058, 41761144060] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China [41601058, 41761144060] ; CAS Light of West China Program [XAB2015B07] ; CAS Light of West China Program [XAB2015B07]
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Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.iswc.ac.cn/handle/361005/8181
Collection水保所科研产出--SCI_2018--SCI
Corresponding AuthorLi, Z (reprint author), Northwest A&F Univ, Coll Nat Resources & Environm, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China.
Affiliation1.Northwest A&F Univ, State Key Lab Soil Eros & Dryland Farming Loess P, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
2.Northwest A&F Univ, Coll Nat Resources & Environm, Yangling 712100, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Shouzhang Peng,Zhi Li,Li, Z . Potential land use adjustment for future climate change adaptation in revegetated regions[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2018,639:476-484.
APA Shouzhang Peng,Zhi Li,&Li, Z .(2018).Potential land use adjustment for future climate change adaptation in revegetated regions.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,639,476-484.
MLA Shouzhang Peng,et al."Potential land use adjustment for future climate change adaptation in revegetated regions".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 639(2018):476-484.
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